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VAEP

A grid of pitch zones shaded darker towards goal, with one pass moving the ball from a pale zone to a darker, more valuable one.

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Goals and Assists Credit Two Touches a Move. Possession Value Models Rate the Rest

Possession value models such as xT, VAEP and OBV put a goal-probability value on every pass, carry and tackle, not just shots. How they differ and where they break down.

19 Sep 2026 · 5 min read

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