Glossary · Essay
Why Analysts Strip the Penalties Out of a Striker's Numbers
Penalties inflate a striker's expected goals in a way that has nothing to do with open play. Non-penalty xG strips them out for a cleaner read on real chance creation.
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Expected Goals
Glossary · Essay
What Expected Goals Actually Measures (and What It Doesn't)
Every shot carries a probability of becoming a goal. Expected goals puts a number on that probability, and gets misread more often than almost any other stat in the modern game.